AHH Stock Recent News

AHH has been a disaster investment case. This year, the dividend has been cut, and the share price has declined by ~20% even though relatively recently there was a notable equity raise. The P/FFO multiple has now dropped to a dirt-cheap/hotel-like level.

I view mREITs as a Hold due to yield curve risks, while high-quality equity REITs like Armada Hoffler Properties offer more stable income and upside potential. AHH's leverage is elevated, but manageable if rate cuts arrive within its debt maturity window, reducing refinancing risk. Dividend coverage is robust with a 56% payout ratio and a healthy 14.5% FFO yield, supporting sustainable income despite shrinking FFO.

AHH.PR.A provides investors with a 6.75% fixed dividend payment. The financial position of Armada Hoffler remains strong because it uses 100% fixed-rate debt with an average cost of 4.2%. The portfolio consists of 44% retail, 36% office and 20% multifamily with high occupancy and strong lease structure.

The US-China trade deal reduces the risk of higher inflation. It should give the Fed more flexibility to cut interest rates. This would be very bullish for REITs and push their valuations to much higher levels.

When Your REIT Will Cut Its Dividend

Dividend cut announcements trigger sharp REIT sell-offs, regardless of whether cuts are forced by trouble or are responsible capital allocation decisions. I consistently find opportunity in buying REITs after responsible dividend cuts, as the market often overreacts despite strong underlying fundamentals. Historical examples like WPC, BRX, KIM, WSR, and GOOD show significant price recovery after responsible cuts, offering attractive entry points for investors.

Stocks that cut their dividends are often eschewed due to containing clear flaws. However, sometimes the market completely misprices a stock after it cuts its dividend, providing tremendous investment opportunities. We share some high-yields that are extremely compelling buys after cutting their dividends.

US equity markets posted modest declines this past week after the Federal Reserve held rates steady and maintained its status quo "wait-and-see" approach, but acknowledged heightened inflation and labor market risks. Meanwhile, White House officials headed to Switzerland to begin high-level trade talks with China, which follows the announcement of the first major post-Liberation Day trade deal with the United Kingdom. Following its best two-week stretch since late 2022, the S&P 500 slipped 0.4% this week - extending its drawdown to around 8% from its mid-February record highs.

Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc. (NYSE:AHH ) Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call May 8, 2025 8:30 AM ET Company Participants Chelsea Forrest - Vice President of Investor Relations Shawn Tibbetts - President and CEO Matthew Barnes-Smith - CFO Conference Call Participants Andrew Berger - Bank of America Viktor Fediv - Scotiabank Rob Stevenson - Janney Operator Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Armada Hoffler First Quarter '25 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. At this time, all lines are in listen-only mode.

Armada Hoffler Properties (AHH) came out with quarterly funds from operations (FFO) of $0.25 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.26 per share. This compares to FFO of $0.33 per share a year ago.