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Although the revenue and EPS for Antero Resources (AR) give a sense of how its business performed in the quarter ended December 2023, it might be worth considering how some key metrics compare with Wall Street estimates and the year-ago numbers.
Although lower commodity prices are likely to have hurt Antero Resources' (AR) Q4 earnings, higher production may have nullified the negative partially.
Antero Resources Corporation should benefit from a recent cold spell, which led to higher prices and increased profits during that cold spell to offset the warm December. Rig count will likely continue to drop until production and supply come back into balance. In fact, the rig count may continue to drop, leading to a shortage. The declining rig count is affecting production. But the production affected comes long after the drilling due to well completion and cleanup after fracking.
Antero Resources Corporation has removed hedges due to declining rig count. The market assumes oversupply will continue, creating a contrarian investment opportunity as the industry decreases supply. The risk of a colder-than-normal winter could lead to a spike in natural gas prices and company profits, but the market is not factoring in this possibility.
Ken Griffin, CEO of Citadel, predicts high inflation to last for decades due to global unrest and structural changes. Griffin emphasizes the end of the "peace dividend" and expects higher real and nominal rates. Antero Midstream Corporation and RTX Corporation are highlighted as high-quality investments with strong balance sheets and dividend growth potential.
Energy stocks have had an inconsistent year in terms of performance, as last year's immense oil market volatility has largely faded in 2023. The iShares Global Energy ETF (NYSEARCA: IXC ) has only risen a tepid 2.2% year-to-date (YTD).
Antero Resources reported strong Q3 results, as well productivity continues to shine. The company's strong execution and rising natural gas prices bode well for 2024. AR remains a "Buy" and a top way to play the ongoing rebound in natural gas prices.
Antero Resources exhibits strong growth potential in the natural gas market, with impressive operational performance, deep reserves, and efficient production, positioning it for significant gains. AR's strategic advantages, including exposure to growing LNG demand and Tier 1 pricing points, combined with bullish expectations for natural gas prices, offer promising prospects. The company maintains a healthy balance sheet and aims to distribute significant cash to shareholders through buybacks, with the potential for substantial growth in stock price if prices remain elevated.
Antero's (AR) third-quarter earnings are driven by higher volumes owing to strong well performance. However, lower commodity price realizations have offset the positives.
Antero Resources Corporation (AR) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript