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I compare TBIL and BIL short-term Treasury Bill investments to determine the best option based on yield and liquidity. I filter investments by evaluating their performance, risk, and alignment with your financial goals. TBIL offers higher yields, but may come with slightly higher risks compared to BIL.
The 10-year Treasury yield is nearing critical resistance levels, impacting the performance of the SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF (BIL) and iShares Core US Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG). I maintain a hold rating on BIL, seeing it as a viable cash alternative with yields likely to remain in the low-mid-4% range through year-end. BIL offers liquidity and low expense ratios, but investors should consider yield-to-maturity and potential tax benefits of alternatives like the Alpha Architect 1-3 Month Box ETF (BOXX).
On Tuesday, Tidal Financial Group and Gamma Capital Partners debuted the GammaRoad Market Navigation ETF (GMMA). “As markets continue to experience bouts of market volatility, the launch of this product comes at the right time.
BIL ETF provides exposure to short-term U.S. Treasury Bills with high yields and stable prices. Rebalancing in August and September will likely lead to lower yields due to expected Fed rate cuts. BIL's yield is likely to drop around 1% into 2025, but market expectations for further Fed cuts look overdone.
Fed maintains interest rates at 525 to 550 basis points, only planning one rate cut in 2024. SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF offers stability, 5.34% yield, and low expense ratio, making it a worthwhile investment for 2024. Bond-based ETFs like BIL are sensitive to interest rate changes and do not benefit from rate cuts due to T-Bill's ultra-short maturity dates.
The SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF remains an attractive investment with a high yield and low volatility. BIL's holdings consist solely of 1-3 month T-bills, making it a practically risk-free investment. The forecast for rate cuts has been pushed further out, making BIL even more attractive.
Amrita Roy and Rob Isbitts are bullish on T-bills and gold as defensive investments in the current macroeconomic environment.
T-bills have become popular investments as yields have risen to 5.3%, and higher. Although t-bills are good investments, I think there are better ones. These include option strategies mimicking t-bill returns, floating rate treasuries, and AAA-rated CLO tranches.
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF is a hot topic of conversation amid an uncertain interest rate environment. The Federal Reserve's inaccuracy regarding future interest rates is stirring the pot. We think the money market and interest rates will deflate in late 2024 amid a potential slowdown in real economic growth.
The SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month Treasury Bill ETF offers a 5% annual yield and provides instant liquidity for traders and long-term investors. Considering higher-risk U.S. stock market dividend yields are materially lower, income investors in BIL will also like the near 100% guaranteed return of capital as part of the buy equation. Moving to cash through BIL now, then switching back to stocks following an impending bear market is an attractive strategy for risk-weighting thinkers and conservative investors.