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I maintain a hold rating on Church & Dwight Co. due to weak domestic performance, retailer destocking, and new tariff headwinds impacting growth prospects. CHD's 1Q25 results showed a 2.4% decline in net sales and a 1.2% decrease in organic sales, driven by a 1.4% volume drop. The deteriorating US consumer environment and retailer inventory reductions are significant headwinds, with no expected recovery in the near term.

Church & Dwight Co., Inc. (NYSE:CHD ) Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call May 1, 2025 10:00 AM ET Company Participants Rick Dierker - President and Chief Executive Officer Lee McChesney - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Rupesh Parikh - Oppenheimer Anna Lizzul - Bank of America Chris Carey - Wells Fargo Andrea Teixeira - JPMorgan Steve Powers - Deutsche Bank Olivia Tong - Raymond James Peter Grom - UBS Lauren Lieberman - Barclays Korinne Wolfmeyer - Piper Sandler Kaumil Gajrawala - Jefferies Javier Escalante - Evercore Dara Mohsenian - Morgan Stanley Filippo Falorni - Citi Kevin Grundy - BNP Paribas Robert Moskow - TD Cowen Operator Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Church & Dwight's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. Before we begin, I have been asked to remind you that on this call, the company's management may make forward-looking statements regarding, among other things, the company's financial objectives and forecasts.

CHD posts earnings beat in first-quarter 2025. Net sales dip 2.4% year over year on lower organic sales.

The headline numbers for Church & Dwight (CHD) give insight into how the company performed in the quarter ended March 2025, but it may be worthwhile to compare some of its key metrics to Wall Street estimates and the year-ago actuals.

Church & Dwight (CHD) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.91 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.89 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.96 per share a year ago.

Besides Wall Street's top -and-bottom-line estimates for Church & Dwight (CHD), review projections for some of its key metrics to gain a deeper understanding of how the company might have fared during the quarter ended March 2025.

Despite a strong start, the Dividend Aristocrats are underperforming the S&P 500 in April, with NOBL down 4.88% and SPY down 1.53%. The best-performing Dividend Aristocrats YTD include Consolidated Edison (+25.65%), Cardinal Health (+17.82%), and Coca-Cola (+16.18%). 33 out of 69 Dividend Aristocrats have announced dividend increases in 2025, with an average growth rate of 4.33%.

CHD's Q1 results are likely to reflect gains from brand strength, while the dynamic consumer environment is concerning.

The risk has been increasing that the United States will have a recession in 2025 or within the next year, according to top Wall Street firms and economists. Recession risk has risen sharply over the last few months, largely due to the trade war and the potential for tariffs to hurt U.S. (and global) economic growth and ignite inflation.

Church & Dwight (CHD) possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.