DELL Stock Recent News

Dell: A Mixed Bag But Still A Buy (Technical Analysis)

Dude, you're getting a Dell just doesn't have the same ring to it that it used to.

ALGT, DELL and HPQ have been added to the Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) List on May 7, 2025.

Dell shares have dropped 18% YTD on fears that AI infrastructure build-out is slowing. However, it is important to note that the concern surrounding fading AI infrastructure build-out has so far not been reflected in fundamentals. Dell's strategic partnership with NVIDIA positions it well in the AI infrastructure market, despite concerns about slowing AI demand.

Dell Technologies is a value play with growth potential from AI infrastructure; stagnation in its PC business is priced into valuations. Financials show revenue growth, improved margins, but concerning free cash flow due to AI investments; shareholder paybacks could be threatened. AI market share gains and projected $15b in AI shipments by FY 2026 highlight Dell's leadership, though risks from hyperscalers and NVIDIA exist.

Initiate on DELL with a Strong Buy and $135 PT, driven by AI infrastructure demand and a non-discretionary Windows 10 EOL commercial PC refresh cycle. Dell's $9B AI server backlog and expanding pipeline position it to exceed management's $15B shipment floor in FY26, driving significant revenue growth. The Windows 10 end-of-life in October 2025 will trigger a commercial PC refresh cycle, with Dell uniquely positioned to benefit due to its market dominance.

Tech is leading the market's recovery, with the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund outperforming other S&P 500 sector ETFs in the past month. Dell's equity valuation is attractive, despite a 26% drop in shares since November 2024, driven by weak earnings reactions and cautious chart signals. Dell's AI server business shows strong growth potential, with a 50% server growth rate expected this year and a record $9 billion backlog.

Dell is flattening its organizational structure and cutting down management layers. Vice presidents will now have at least 15 direct reports, while other senior staff will have 20 reports.

Markets have become especially accustomed to tech buybacks in recent years. According to S&P Dow Jones Indices, companies in the S&P 500 tech sector spent a whopping $253 billion on buybacks in 2024.

The recommendations of Wall Street analysts are often relied on by investors when deciding whether to buy, sell, or hold a stock. Media reports about these brokerage-firm-employed (or sell-side) analysts changing their ratings often affect a stock's price.