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Regulated utilities are among our favorite businesses to cover. Eversource Energy has reaffirmed its 5% to 7% annual non-GAAP EPS growth outlook through 2029. The regulated utility is poised to strengthen its balance sheet in 2025.
Eversource Energy, an American utility holding company, is now a $24 billion (by market cap) major utility player. The company serves approximately 4.4 million customers, with the vast majority of them (~3.3 million) being electric utility customers. ES increased its dividend for 27 consecutive years, with a 10-year dividend growth rate of 6.2%.
Dividend Aristocrats are solid investments in the current environment. High Treasury yields are causing them to look less attractive, and they're trading at discounted levels.
Buying and holding companies that provide reliable streams of passive income can help an investor stay one step ahead of bills. In today's article, I'll highlight a major midstream player, an electric and gas utility, and a super-regional bank/financial services company. Relative to my fair value estimates, the stocks vary from 9% to 16% discounted.
ES targets $24.2 billion in capital upgrades by 2029, boosting grid reliability and advancing New England's clean energy shift.
I am bullish on Eversource Energy due to rising electricity demand, robust capital investments, and a strong macro environment supporting growth. Eversource's financials show recurring EPS growth, impressive cash flow improvement, and consistent dividend increases, reinforcing my optimistic outlook. Despite a weak Altman-Z score and current ratio, Eversource's strong receivables and retained earnings support its ability to meet obligations and invest in growth.
We initiate on Eversource Energy at Buy, as we believe the market underestimates the rate normalization potential and regulatory catalysts for a re-rating. Our price target of $79/sh is predicated on applying a 4.5x EV/Sales multiple to our 2026 top-line estimate, implying 10% upside. We model ES's revenues at $12.7bn in 2025 and $12.9bn in 2026, as we expect muted topline growth as the headwinds ease.
Dividend yields are rising on these 10 stocks. Dividend yields tend to on one of two occasions: the company is raising the dividend payout or the share price is sinking.
I analyze Barron's top 100 sustainable companies, focusing on dividend-paying stocks using the yield-based 'dogcatcher' strategy for value and income. Six of 83 dividend-paying ESG stocks meet the ideal of annual dividends from $1,000 invested exceeding their share price, signaling potential value opportunities. Analyst targets suggest 20-45% net gains for the top ten ESG 'dogs' by May 2026, with risk and volatility varying by stock and sector.
Many S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats remain overvalued, but select high-yield 'Dogs' like Realty Income and Amcor offer attractive entry points for income investors. Analyst forecasts suggest the top ten Aristocrat Dogs could deliver 16% to 38% net gains by May 2026, with average risk below the market. Caution: Fourteen Aristocrats have negative free cash flow margins, making their dividends less secure despite high yields—focus on 'safer' picks like Hormel.