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Evaluate the expected performance of Elastic (ESTC) for the quarter ended July 2025, looking beyond the conventional Wall Street top-and-bottom-line estimates and examining some of its key metrics for better insight.
SAN FRANCISCO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Elastic (NYSE: ESTC) (“Elastic”), the Search AI Company, announced that it will release its financial results for its first quarter fiscal 2026 ended July 31, 2025, after the U.S. market close on Thursday, August 28, 2025. The company will host a conference call at 2:00 p.m. PT / 5:00 p.m. ET that day to review its financial results and business outlook. A live webcast of the conference call will be accessible from the Elastic investor relations website at ir.ela.
Elastic offers a narrow-to-strong economic moat across Search, Security, and Observability, with cross-sell opportunities. Despite macro headwinds this year, especially in the US public sector, I estimate ~15% peak revenue growth for fiscal 2028, and expanding margins through 2034. My base-case Fair Value estimate for ESTC stock is $97.25, ~30% potential upside from the current price ($74.5).
SAN FRANCISCO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Elastic (NYSE: ESTC), the Search AI Company, today announced Elastic Observability Logs Essentials (“Logs Essentials”), a new tier within Elastic Cloud Serverless that delivers fast, scalable and cost-effective log analytics powered by Elasticsearch. Built for Site Reliability Engineers (SREs) and developers, Logs Essentials provides critical capabilities for ingesting, searching, visualizing, and alerting on logs without needing to handle ops, upgrades, or tunin.
SAN FRANCISCO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Elastic (NYSE: ESTC), the Search AI Company, today announced the launch of Elastic AI SOC Engine (EASE), a new serverless, easy-to-deploy security package that brings AI-driven context-aware detection and triage into existing SIEM and EDR tools, without the need for an immediate migration or replacement. EASE delivers agentless integrations, AI-driven alert correlation using Elastic's Attack Discovery, and an AI Assistant that empowers SOC analysts to uncover hid.
SAN FRANCISCO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Elastic (NYSE: ESTC), the Search AI Company, announced new performance and cost-efficiency breakthroughs with two significant enhancements to its vector search. Users now benefit from ACORN, a smart filtering algorithm, in addition to Better Binary Quantization (BBQ) as the default for high-dimensional dense vectors. These capabilities improve both query performance and ranking quality, providing developers with new tools to build scalable, high-performance AI ap.
SAN FRANCISCO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Elastic (NYSE: ESTC), the Search AI Company, today announced a major update to the Elasticsearch Query Language (ES|QL) in Elasticsearch 8.19 and 9.1, bringing advanced data enrichment, improved resilience, and significant performance gains across petabyte-scale environments. Already in use on over 10,000 clusters each week, ES|QL now supports enterprise-grade use cases with the general availability of LOOKUP JOIN and Cross-Cluster Search (CCS), a new default set.
SAN FRANCISCO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Elastic (NYSE: ESTC), the Search AI Company, announced the winners and honorees of the 2025 Elastic Excellence Awards. These awards recognize groundbreaking achievements by organizations and individuals that are transforming their industries, communities, and businesses by unlocking the full potential of their data with Elastic's Search AI platform. “Our customers are using data to deliver powerful outcomes, from reshaping business models to securing critical inf.
Elastic's fundamentals remain strong despite a recent stock price drop, creating a compelling buying opportunity as AI adoption continues to accelerate. ESTC is well-positioned to benefit from AI trends, with its leadership in vector search and growing cloud revenue likely to drive future growth. The company's conservative FY2026 guidance is likely overly cautious; I expect Elastic to beat estimates and see its valuation re-rate higher.
SAN FRANCISCO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Elastic (NYSE: ESTC), the Search AI Company, announced it has been positioned by Gartner as a Leader in the Magic Quadrant for Observability Platforms for its offering, Elastic Observability. The evaluation was based on specific criteria that analyzed the company's overall Completeness of Vision and Ability to Execute. “Visibility alone isn't enough; customers need rapid context-rich insights to troubleshoot complex systems,” said Santosh Krishnan, general manage.