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Pipeline companies remain well positioned despite the current disruption in the energy markets. By and large, these are toll-road businesses where energy prices have only a moderate direct impact on their results.
Zacks.com users have recently been watching Kinder Morgan (KMI) quite a bit. Thus, it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock's prospects.
Kinder Morgan's stock has performed very well over the past year, returning 44% compared to the SP500 returning a slight loss over the same time frame. Key drivers include growth of LNG exports and domestic demand for natural gas, which is expected to increase by 26% through 2030 and affirmed by management in Q1 earnings. KMI transports over 40% of the natural gas in the USA and continues to build and increase its infrastructure, boasting an $8.8B backlog that is being funded primarily via earnings.
Natural gas pipeline giant Kinder Morgan (KMI 3.24%) has long held an optimistic view on the future of natural gas demand. The company believes that liquified natural gas (LNG) exports will drive significant demand growth in the coming years.
Kinder Morgan (KMI 3.24%) started the year showing only modest growth in its first quarter, although that was largely attributable to a turnaround at its condensate processing facility, which is required only once every 10 years. Nonetheless, with this maintenance work comes lost profits from the plant being shut down.
Kinder Morgan's Q1 2025 earnings showed a 10.39% revenue increase but a 3.89% net income decline, highlighting decreasing gross margins. Adjusted EBITDA rose 1% year-over-year, which is lower than some peers have delivered in recent quarters. The company has a number of natural gas projects under development. These provide the company with growth potential through at least 2029.
While the top- and bottom-line numbers for Kinder Morgan (KMI) give a sense of how the business performed in the quarter ended March 2025, it could be worth looking at how some of its key metrics compare to Wall Street estimates and year-ago values.
Kinder Morgan beat top line estimates in Q1'25, but missed on earnings. Despite underperforming rivals in terms of dividend growth, Kinder Morgan's natural gas focus and growing EBITDA make it a solid midstream investment. The midstream platform's FY 2025 guidance implies 4% Y/Y EBITDA growth. Kinder Morgan achieves 95% of its cash flow from contracts and fee arrangements, leading to a very safe dividend.
Natural gas production and demand reached record levels domestically in Q1 and are expected to continue growing, creating a dual tailwind for midstream energy operators.
There's a lot of uncertainty these days. Tariffs could cause a severe economic downturn, depending on who you listen to.