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Despite Oxford Lane Capital Corporation's 24% dividend yield, I recommend avoiding it due to its poor track record and inability to cover its dividend. Net investment income per share is declining sharply, failing to cover the dividend and suggesting a high risk of future dividend cuts. Net asset value per share is dropping rapidly, and the stock trades at a premium to NAV nevertheless.
OXLC's NAV has dropped sharply recently. Massive share issuance continued despite previous buyback announcements. The fund's high headline yield is unsustainable, with a likely distribution cut and potential reverse split looming due to declining NAV and payout coverage issues.
Despite a weak Q4 2025 report from Oxford Lane Capital, I see the declines in NII and NAV as temporary and not indicative of long-term value. Recent investments in new CLO equity positions have yet to contribute to income, suggesting that future quarters will show improved results as cash payments begin. Market volatility and lower loan prices present buying opportunities for experienced CLO managers, supporting OXLC's long-term income potential despite short-term price pressure.
Oxford Lane Capital Corporation (OXLC) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
GREENWICH, Conn., May 16, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (NasdaqGS: OXLC) (NasdaqGS: OXLCP) (NasdaqGS: OXLCL) (NasdaqGS: OXLCO) (NasdaqGS: OXLCZ) (NasdaqGS: OXLCN) (NasdaqGS: OXLCI) (NasdaqGS: OXLCG) (“Oxford Lane,” the “Company,” “we,” “us” or “our”) has been named “Best Public Closed-End CLO Fund” by Creditflux, a leading global information source covering credit funds and CLOs.
April's market volatility, driven by tariffs and led by tech sector declines, created opportunities to deploy cash. However, it was an opportunity to reposition my portfolio as well, with 2 swap trades to de-risk my portfolio. There were 2 corporate actions in the last month that also saw two more positions removed from my CEF portfolio, but overall, I was a net buyer for the month.
GREENWICH, Conn., May 12, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (NasdaqGS: OXLC) (NasdaqGS: OXLCP) (NasdaqGS: OXLCL) (NasdaqGS: OXLCO) (NasdaqGS: OXLCZ) (NasdaqGS: OXLCN) (NasdaqGS: OXLCI) (NasdaqGS: OXLCG) announced today that it will hold a conference call to discuss its fourth fiscal quarter earnings on Monday, May 19, 2025 at 9:00 AM ET. The toll-free dial-in number is 1-833-470-1428, access code number 818188. There will be a recorded replay of the call available for 30 days after the call. If you are interested in hearing the recording, please dial 1-866-813-9403. The replay pass-code number is 138532.
The CLO Equity CEF sector has doubled in size over the past two years, driven by new entrants and favorable market conditions. Key catalysts include a benign default environment, tightening credit spreads, and the attractiveness of floating-rate assets amid a flat/inverted yield curve. CLO Equity funds benefit from embedded options like reinvestment and call options, which enhance returns during periods of market volatility.
Market turmoil presents opportunities; however, Oxford Lane Capital's common stock is too risky due to increased volatility after recent capital raises and tariff-induced sector-wide impacts. Oxford Lane Capital's portfolio is heavily invested in high-yield CLO-equity tranches, making its common stock volatile and susceptible to economic uncertainties. Preferred stocks appear overvalued compared to Baby Bonds, which offer better yields and higher security in the capital structure.
Oxford Lane Capital's 24.16% forward dividend yield is attractive, but the risk of recession and high leverage makes it a strong sell. The fund's heavy investment in CLO-equity is highly risky, especially during economic downturns, potentially leading to significant losses. Historical data shows OXLC's distributions are not covered by incoming cashflows, and its high leverage amplifies risk during market crises.