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Oxford Lane baby bonds provide very strong safety, yet surprisingly, they also provide high yields. This is also true for a couple of Eagle Point Credit baby bonds. Current mispricing has OXLC baby bonds with higher yields-to-maturity than the term preferred stocks in the same sector. I don't know what investors are thinking. I estimate that OXLC baby bonds are offering yields-to-maturity that are 2.5% higher than bonds with equivalent safety.
What defines distribution coverage? OXLC puts out a few different numbers, and these have changed a bit over time. We dive into some of them and tell you why we believe a distribution cut is coming.
Oxford Lane Capital Corporation offers a high 23.84% yield, but this signals unsustainable risk and underperformance versus the S&P 500. The fund invests almost exclusively in collateralized loan obligation, or CLO, equity tranches, exposing investors to the riskiest part of the capital structure. Despite diversification, OXLC has posted negative returns for six of the last seven years, with large realized and unrealized losses.
My yield-based 'dogcatcher' strategy spotlights high-yield stocks whose dividends from $1,000 invested exceed their share price, favoring underdogs for income growth. Analyst targets project average net gains of 41.9% for the top ten May 2025 ReFa/Ro Dogs, with Oxford Lane Capital leading at 83.4% upside potential. All ten top ReFa/Ro Dogs currently meet my 'ideal' criteria, but caution is warranted as several have negative free cash flow margins, signaling cash-poor status.
Don't Set Your Hair On Fire Over This 24% Yield: OXLC
Despite Oxford Lane Capital Corporation's 24% dividend yield, I recommend avoiding it due to its poor track record and inability to cover its dividend. Net investment income per share is declining sharply, failing to cover the dividend and suggesting a high risk of future dividend cuts. Net asset value per share is dropping rapidly, and the stock trades at a premium to NAV nevertheless.
OXLC's NAV has dropped sharply recently. Massive share issuance continued despite previous buyback announcements. The fund's high headline yield is unsustainable, with a likely distribution cut and potential reverse split looming due to declining NAV and payout coverage issues.
Despite a weak Q4 2025 report from Oxford Lane Capital, I see the declines in NII and NAV as temporary and not indicative of long-term value. Recent investments in new CLO equity positions have yet to contribute to income, suggesting that future quarters will show improved results as cash payments begin. Market volatility and lower loan prices present buying opportunities for experienced CLO managers, supporting OXLC's long-term income potential despite short-term price pressure.
Oxford Lane Capital Corporation (OXLC) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
GREENWICH, Conn., May 16, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (NasdaqGS: OXLC) (NasdaqGS: OXLCP) (NasdaqGS: OXLCL) (NasdaqGS: OXLCO) (NasdaqGS: OXLCZ) (NasdaqGS: OXLCN) (NasdaqGS: OXLCI) (NasdaqGS: OXLCG) (“Oxford Lane,” the “Company,” “we,” “us” or “our”) has been named “Best Public Closed-End CLO Fund” by Creditflux, a leading global information source covering credit funds and CLOs.