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Pernod Ricard (PRNDY) might move higher on growing optimism about its earnings prospects, which is reflected by its upgrade to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
Pernod Ricard is streamlining its business by grouping brands into two main divisions, according to internal presentation slides seen by Reuters on Wednesday, as European spirits makers grapple with a downturn in sales.
Pernod Ricard's stock has halved, pushing the dividend yield above 5%, but I remain cautious due to weak fundamentals and valuation concerns. Sales momentum has stalled, and high debt limits financial flexibility, making the current dividend payout unsustainable. The dividend now exceeds free cash flow for the second year in a row, raising the risk of a cut; a prudent reduction would benefit long-term health despite short-term disappointment.
Pernod Ricard's recent 25%+ share price drop is overdone; fundamentals remain strong, despite short-term sales weakness from tariffs and geopolitics. Recovery is likely delayed until 2027-2029, but the company's 5% dividend is safe and its BBB+ rating and low leverage provide stability. Valuation is now attractive, with a fair value of €140/share and long-term upside potential of 20%+ annualized returns once recovery begins.
New Delhi city government has rejected for a third time Pernod Ricard's request for a licence to sell its brands in India's capital, citing ongoing investigations, an order showed, dealing a blow to the French liquor giant in a key market.
Pernod Ricard SA (OTCPK:PDRDF) Q3 2025 Results Conference Call April 17, 2025 3:00 AM ET Company Participants Florence Tresarrieu - VP, Investor Relations Helene de Tissot - Executive Vice President of Finance Conference Call Participants Andrea Pistacchi - Bank of America Gen Cross - BNP Paribas Exane Edward Mundy - Jefferies Trevor Stirling - Bernstein Simon Hales - Citi Olivier Nicolai - Goldman Sachs Chris Pitcher - Redburn Atlantic Florence Tresarrieu Hello, everyone, and welcome to our Q3 FY '25 sales calls. I guess you've all seen the press release this morning, Helene de Tissot, our Group CFO, will provide a brief opening comments before we move to your questions.
Pernod Ricard confirmed it expects sales to fall for the current fiscal year as the Absolut Vodka owner grapples with trade turmoils and a downturn in demand.
Richard Chamberlain, head of European consumer discretionary equity research at RBC, weighs in on the impact of tariffs on the retail sector.
CNBC's Joe Kernen reports on the latest news.
I give a hold rating for Pernod Ricard due to headwinds in the US and China, margin pressures, and potential tariff risks. Pernod Ricard is losing market share in the US and facing weak consumer sentiment and regulatory challenges in China, impacting sales and profitability. Despite cost-cutting efforts, Pernod Ricard's margins are compressing, and potential US tariffs on European spirits could further exacerbate this issue.