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Qualcomm's NASDAQ: QCOM re-entry into the CPU semiconductor market is noteworthy for several reasons, but may not be enough to move the needle. While it affirms NVIDIA's NASDAQ: NVDA decision to open the NVLINK system to other manufacturers with NVLINK Fusion, the CPU market is already dominated by Intel and Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ: AMD, which are unlikely to sit still.
Qualcomm's Q2 FY 2025 revenue rose 15% YoY to $10.8B, driven by 59% auto and 27% IoT growth. Free cash flow hit $6.65B in H1 FY 2025, with 100% returned to shareholders via $1.7B buybacks and $938M dividends. Gross margin declined to 55% from 56% YoY, as QCT product mix shifted toward lower-margin SKUs despite ASP increases.
Qualcomm's strong YoY performance indicates the continued recovery of the smartphone market and positive progress on its diversification strategy. While I'm optimistic about Qualcomm's diversification into automotive, I remain skeptical of its entry into the PCs and Industrials. While losing Apple can be a significant hole in Qualcomm's revenue and profits, its strong free cash flow and friendly shareholder capital allocation are good enough to offset this.
Qualcomm's Q2 FY2025 results crushed expectations, with strong growth in QCT, IoT, and Automotive segments, highlighting superior execution and operational strength. Despite stellar fundamentals and bargain-level valuations, technical breakdowns and macro uncertainties suggest further downside risk before a sustainable rally emerges. I remain bullish long-term and have not reduced my position, but recent volatility and broken support levels warrant a more cautious 'buy' rating.
The Investment Committee give you their top stocks to watch for the second half.
Qualcomm Inc NASDAQ: QCOM closed just above $150 on Friday, up a solid 25% from its multi-year low set in April. While that rebound initially looked like the beginning of a breakout, momentum has since stalled.
QUALCOMM is undertaking various initiatives to elevate UAE's digital infrastructure with a wide array of technologies such as advanced connectivity, 5G and edge AI technologies.
Qualcomm is undervalued at 14.2x Price-To-FCF, despite market concerns over Apple business loss and customer concentration risks. I see Qualcomm's unique integrated platform and diversification into Automotive, IoT, and PCs as key drivers to offset Apple revenue declines. Margins are under pressure due to competitive handset markets and automotive pricing, but profitability remains strong versus peers like AMD and Intel.
Qualcomm has unveiled plans to rejoin the data centre market by launching new custom CPUs optimised for AI workloads, in a move that positions it directly against rivals like Intel and AMD.