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The market's technical health is flashing green: 62% of S&P 500 stocks are trading above their 200-day moving averages, the highest since January. This is a classic sign of broad market strength and often signals a sustained rally is underway.
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The S&P 500 retreated on Friday from its record high set the previous day. The index posted a 0.3% weekly loss, snapping its two-week win streak.
High-yield S&P 500 stocks can be risky, but 14 "safer" S&P 500 dividend dogs have strong free cash flow to support payouts and are attractive buys. Analyst forecasts suggest top ten S&P 500 dividend dogs could deliver 27% to 53% net gains by July 2026, with lower-than-market volatility. A market correction could make more high-yield stocks fairly priced; currently, only a select few meet the 'dogcatcher' ideal of yield from $1K invested exceeding share price.
SIXA is a high-conviction actively managed fund meant to complement broad-market ETFs like those tracking the S&P 500 Index. Its expense ratio is 0.47%. After screening out "mega-cap" stocks with low-quality and low momentum features, managers rank and select stocks based on beta, momentum, yield, value, and quality. My fundamental analysis shows the balance you would expect from a multi-factor ETF. SIXA's 16.23x forward P/E represents a 32% discount over SPY, and its growth features aren't bad, either.
Continued alignment of seasonality with our Elliott wave count allows us to anticipate a top around July 16, a low around July 21, and the end of the Bull run that began in April in early August at SPX6700-6900.
Earnings should get a boost from all the spending Big Tech is doing on artificial intelligence. “We're still building AI with reckless abandon,” says one strategist.
I maintain a buy rating on IXUS, driven by strong year-to-date momentum and attractive valuations versus the S&P 500. IXUS offers broad international diversification, low expenses, a higher yield, and a favorable PEG ratio, making it a compelling core holding. Technical analysis confirms a long-term breakout with bullish momentum, though some resistance and seasonal caution are warranted.
The president also teased higher tariff rates on many other nations.
President Trump announced even more tariffs last night.