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Given heightened economic uncertainty, I am leaning more defensive and sticking with my dividend growth investing strategy, emphasizing diversification and income stability. The frozen housing market, soft labor conditions, and stagnating consumer spending signal potential economic weakness, despite optimism in select sectors like tech. My ETF portfolio review shows shifting leadership, with midstream energy outperforming previously, but preferreds and tech-focused ETFs now leading as trends evolve.
Rate cut bets, record highs and strong earnings power growth ETFs like VUG, IWF, IVW, SPYG and IUSG into the spotlight.
When the market is near all-time highs, it is easy to think the smart move is to sit tight and wait for a pullback. The problem is that waiting rarely pays off.
Nearly every financial article you read will tell you the same thing.
It's been a pretty strong decade for the stock market as a whole, with the benchmark S&P 500 index more than quadrupling investors' money. However, some areas of the stock market have performed even better.
Growth stocks are soaring, but current valuations echo the late 1990s and the Nifty Fifty bubble in the early 1970s, raising concerns about sustainability. Predicting market moves or macro events is futile; long-term success comes from buying quality businesses below intrinsic value. Average investors underperform by chasing narratives and short-term trends instead of focusing on valuation and fundamentals.
The S&P 500's rally is not a bubble but a secular growth trend fueled by strong earnings, especially from mega-cap tech stocks. AI-driven innovation and robust earnings from tech giants like Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta are powering market gains and supporting further upside. Valuations remain reasonable, economic growth is solid, and potential rate cuts reduce the risk of a major selloff in the near term.
With the stock market sitting near record highs, many investors may be tempted to wait for a pullback before buying any new shares. The problem is that waiting for a better price often backfires.
Growth stocks have regained leadership with VUG outperforming after a significant correction, and the AI megatrend is driving further upside potential. VUG offers efficient, low-cost exposure to mega-cap growth, with robust earnings growth and a strong tech focus supporting its investment case. Fed rate cuts are likely to provide additional tailwinds for growth stocks, potentially fueling a bubble reminiscent of the late 1990s.
The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) and Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) are prime examples of what has been the bedrock of Vanguard's ETF strategy: offer low-cost, passive funds. That's amassed them insurmountable assets under management over the years.