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ZTO Express Cayman (ZTO) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock?
ZTO Express' Q4 2024 results showed double-digit growth in revenue, gross profit, and adjusted net income, but parcel volume growth lagged behind the industry. Persistent strategic ambiguity and intense competition in China's express delivery market limit ZTO's potential for market re-rating, justifying a "hold" rating. Despite increasing ASP and higher margins, ZTO's market share declined, reflecting management's struggle to balance profitability and volume growth.
The surge in operating expenses does not bode well for ZTO. A weakening liquidity position also hurts the company's prospects.
I maintain a Hold rating for ZTO Express, following an evaluation of its outlook for the short term and long run. ZTOEF's ambitious volume growth target will likely be a drag on its '25 margins. In the mid-to-long term, the company might witness share gains and higher prices if insurance coverage for couriers becomes a requirement in China.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO ) Q4 2024 Results Conference Call March 18, 2025 8:30 PM ET Company Participants Sophie Li - Corporate Secretary and Director of Capital Markets Meisong Lai - Chairman and CEO Huiping Yan - CFO Conference Call Participants Ronald Keung - Goldman Sachs Qianlei Fan - Morgan Stanley Aaron Luo - UBS Operator Good day, and welcome to the ZTO Express Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Financial Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please also note today's event is being recorded.
ZTO's fourth-quarter 2024 earnings and revenues increase year over year.
ZTO's bottom-line performance is likely to have been hurt by increased operating expenses in the December-end quarter of 2024.
SHANGHAI , Jan. 9, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- On January 9 2025, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE: ZTO and HKEX: 2057) ("ZTO" or the "Company"), a leading and fast-growing express delivery company in China, held its National Network Conference at its headquarters in Shanghai. The conference conveyed and studied the spirit of the 2025 National Postal Management Work Conference by the State Post Bureau, summarized and reviewed the work of 2024, analyzed the situation, and outlined key tasks for 2025.
Rising expenses are likely to hurt ZTO's bottom line.
Shares of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO, Financial) surged 4.74% in mid-day trading on Oct 2. The stock reached an intraday high of $27.05, before settling at $26.61, up from its previous close of $25.40.