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ZTO Express Cayman (ZTO) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock?
ZTO Express' Q1 results missed expectations due to lower ASPs, reflecting intense price competition despite strong parcel volume growth. We maintain a HOLD rating, citing macroeconomic uncertainty, competitive pressures, and margin compression as reasons for caution. ZTO's operational efficiency, e-commerce partnerships, and reverse logistics growth are positives, but pricing pressure and margin risks persist.
The surge in operating expenses does not bode well for ZTO. A weak liquidity position also hurts the company's prospects.
ZTO's first-quarter 2025 revenues benefit from growth in parcel volume.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO ) Q1 2025 Results Conference Call May 20, 2025 8:30 PM ET Company Participants Sophie Li - Corporate Secretary and Director of Capital Markets Meisong Lai - Chairman and CEO Huiping Yan - CFO Conference Call Participants Ronald Keung - Goldman Sachs Qianlei Fan - Morgan Stanley Amy Han - Citigroup Operator Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Sophie Li, Head of Capital Markets.
Parcels Volume Increased 19.1% to 8.5 Billion Adjusted Net Income Grew 1.6 % to RMB2.3 Billion Annual Volume Guidance Reiterated to Grow 20%-24% SHANGHAI , May 20, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE: ZTO and SEHK: 2057), a leading and fast-growing express delivery company in China ("ZTO" or the "Company"), today announced its unaudited financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2025[1]. The Company grew parcel volume by 19.1% year over year while maintaining high quality of service and customer satisfaction.
The trade war between the United States and China is expected to have an impact on ZTO's prospects in the to-be-reported quarter.
ZTO Express Cayman (ZTO) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock?
ZTO Express' Q4 2024 results showed double-digit growth in revenue, gross profit, and adjusted net income, but parcel volume growth lagged behind the industry. Persistent strategic ambiguity and intense competition in China's express delivery market limit ZTO's potential for market re-rating, justifying a "hold" rating. Despite increasing ASP and higher margins, ZTO's market share declined, reflecting management's struggle to balance profitability and volume growth.
The surge in operating expenses does not bode well for ZTO. A weakening liquidity position also hurts the company's prospects.