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Treasury volatility has eased, but varying Treasury and credit returns persist, with only T-bills and junk bonds at total return all-time highs. I have a hold rating on iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF, as credit spreads are historically tight and the HYG fund's YTW has come in significantly. With global defaults on the rise, HYG's fundamental risk/reward setup does not look ideal, though its technical chart is favorable.
U.S. Weekly FundFlows Insight Report: Short/Intermediate Investment Grade Funds Have Yet To Report A Weekly Outflow In 2024
Investors were net sellers of fund assets for the second week in three, redeeming a net $11.6B for the LSEG Lipper fund flows week ended Wednesday (February 21). For the flows week, the Treasury yield rose at all maturities of the curve, except for the two-month yield, which experienced a one basis point decline to end the week at 5.50%.
Why High-Yield Bonds Could Outperform: Pick 7.5%-Yielding SPHY
U.S. Weekly Fund Flows Insight Report: Investors Withdraw Assets From Funds For The Third Week In Four
Hello! For this week's ETF Wrap, I caught up with Michael Arone, State Street's chief investment strategist, at the Exchange ETF conference in Miami. He shared his take on bonds as ETF investors look for clues as to when the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates.
U.S. Weekly FundFlows Insight Report: Equity ETFs Start 2024 With 14th Straight Weekly Inflow
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF has performed well, generating a total return of 13% since we initiated our bullish view in November 2022. However, we now see increasing risks that market sentiment may be getting ahead of itself and potentially bordering on extreme greed. Fed Funds futures indicate that traders are already pricing a 39% probability of 6 rate cuts (150 basis points) by the end of the year.
After a year when advisors were relatively cautious about taking on credit risk, sentiment seems to be shifting. In 2023, the most popular fixed income ETF was the iShares 20+ Year Treasury ETF (TLT).
HYG is the largest high-yield bond ETF in the market. It is not a particularly good choice. A look at the fund, and some better alternatives, follows.