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I maintain a hold rating on Mohawk Industries due to market softness, pricing pressure, and declining consumer confidence impacting demand. MHK reported a 5.7% y/y decrease in net sales, with mixed segment performance and a consolidated adj. EBIT margin drop to 4.8%. Persistent pricing pressure and competitive market conditions constrain MHK's margin expansion, despite potential tariff-related price hikes.

Mohawk Industries, Inc. (NYSE:MHK ) Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call May 2, 2025 11:00 AM ET Company Participants James Brunk - Chief Financial Officer Jeff Lorberbaum - Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Paul De Cock - President and Chief Operating Officer Conference Call Participants John Lovallo - UBS Matthew Bouley - Barclays Investment Bank Rafe Jadrosich - Bank of America Susan Maklari - Goldman Sachs Collin Verron - Deutsche Bank Keith Hughes - Truist Tim Wojs - Baird Adam Baumgarten - Zelman Brian Biros - Thompson Research Group Michael Rehaut - JPMorgan Stephen Kim - Evercore Trevor Allinson - Wolfe Research Phil Ng - Jefferies Laura Champine - Loop Capital Mike Dahl - RBC Capital Markets Operator Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Mohawk Industries First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode.

MHK's first-quarter 2025 results reflect productivity gains and cost control efforts, offset by weaker market conditions.

The headline numbers for Mohawk Industries (MHK) give insight into how the company performed in the quarter ended March 2025, but it may be worthwhile to compare some of its key metrics to Wall Street estimates and the year-ago actuals.

Mohawk Industries (MHK) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.52 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.41 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.86 per share a year ago.

CALHOUN, Georgia, May 01, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Mohawk Industries, Inc. (NYSE: MHK) today announced first quarter 2025 net earnings of $73 million and earnings per share (“EPS”) of $1.15; adjusted net earnings were $96 million, and adjusted EPS was $1.52. Net sales for the first quarter of 2025 were $2.5 billion, a decrease of 5.7% as reported and a decrease of 0.7% adjusted for constant days and exchange rates versus the prior year. During the first quarter of 2024, the Company reported net sales of $2.7 billion, net earnings of $105 million and earnings per share of $1.64; adjusted net earnings were $119 million, and adjusted EPS was $1.86.

MHK's first-quarter 2025 results are likely to reflect a declining sales trend due to a softer residential market. That said, restructuring actions and cost-saving efforts bode well.

Mohawk Industries has seen significant stock decline and operational deterioration, despite restructuring efforts, making it a 'hold' candidate for now. Revenue dropped from $11.74 billion in 2022 to $10.84 billion in 2024, driven by lower legacy sales volume and pricing changes. Cost-cutting initiatives have improved adjusted net income and operating cash flow, but trade wars and tariffs pose significant risks.

Mohawk Industries (MHK) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.

The European Union will launch countermeasures from next Tuesday against U.S. President Donald Trump's steel and aluminium tariffs with extra duties on 21 billion euros ($23 billion) of U.S. imports.