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While the December 2024 interest rate cut of 25 basis points may be the last until September, it is an excellent bet that federal funds will be lower than today's effective federal funds rate of 4.33%, which is already below the long-term average of 4.61%.

Stanley Black & Decker is undergoing a major transformation with significant cost cutting and asset sales, improving its bottom line despite revenue declines. The company's shares are attractively valued both on an absolute basis and relative to peers, supporting a soft 'Buy' rating. Ongoing risks include potential recession and tariff impacts, but management is proactively adjusting supply chain and pricing strategies.

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Stanley Black & Decker is deeply undervalued, trading at 2011 levels despite strong brands and Dividend King status, offering a nearly 5% yield. Earnings are expected to rebound strongly after 2025, with current headwinds from tariffs and supply chain changes likely to ease. Lower interest rates and potential tariff relief could act as significant catalysts, making now an opportune time to buy low.

Companies ranging from Stanley Black & Decker to Conagra to Tesla have told analysts on earnings calls that higher tariffs will raise costs. The management remarks come as economists doubt that importers will continue absorbing cost increases tied to tariffs, and say they're likely to pass them on to consumers instead.

Despite decades of experience and renown as a toolmaker, Stanley Black & Decker (SWK -7.22%) couldn't fix investors' sentiment about its stock Tuesday. On the back of dispiriting second-quarter results published this morning, those folks sold out of the company's shares, leaving a more than 7% slide in price.