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Relying solely on past performance for Emerging Markets can be misleading when making portfolio decisions. Comparing Emerging Markets to US Total Market indices highlights significant performance and risk differences. Factor analysis tools reveal that Emerging Markets offer several benefits like equity-bond like correlation factors and periods of upside.
If you want to make money on popular ETFs this year, there's one key strategy — avoid the S&P 500.
Emerging markets have outperformed the S&P 500 in 2025, with VWO delivering a 1.5% total return YTD, beating SPY by nearly 10 percentage points. Despite recent declines, VWO remains a buy due to its attractive valuation at 11x forward earnings and strong sector diversification. VWO's technicals are mixed, trading below key moving averages, but its valuation and relative strength offer a compelling investment case.
It's getting harder to find value in the U.S. International diversification could be the key in getting better deals.
After President Donald Trump's November 2024 election victory, the Financial Times had reported $140 billion new investment into US equity funds in just the first month.
Retirees looking to diversify into international stocks can find a low-cost solution aboard the ship of Vanguard.
VWO ETF, with its low expense ratio and high dividend yield, serves as a benchmark for analyzing emerging markets. Emerging markets' performance is complex, influenced by factors like the DXY index, Trump's tariffs, and Powell's monetary decisions. The Dollar Index continues its strong upward trend, driven by Trump's fiscal policy and the Fed's monetary strategy.
Including emerging markets in your portfolio is sensible due to their lower correlation with the US stock market, enhancing risk-adjusted returns. VWO is a solid choice for EM exposure, offering low expense ratios, high liquidity, and broad diversification across sectors and countries. Despite historically lower returns, EM's unique correlation patterns can improve portfolio performance, especially during market downturns and specific periods of outperformance.
Emerging markets represent a compelling investment opportunity because they invest in rapidly developing economies poised for substantial growth. These markets offer a unique blend of high-growth potential and increased risks.
The Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF invests in stocks of companies in emerging markets like China, Brazil, Taiwan, and South Africa. I see Chinese equity exposure as too risky at this juncture given trade implications from an aggressive tariff policy under a Trump administration. While I see merit to being a bull on the Indian economy, the valuation of that country's equities is too rich for my taste.