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After a 16% rally since the bottom on October 25, the Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (VWO) appears poised for further upside, with the China rally leading the way. While valuations have increased over recent months, the VWO remains undervalued from a historical perspective. Despite an expected collapse in earnings, the forward P/E ratio remains at 12.0x.
After years of valuation comparison, emerging markets have become very attractive at this point, both in absolute terms and relative terms. This article examines two popular emerging market funds to help investors make an informed decision in this space.
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The VWO's underlying FTSE EM index now trades at its cheapest level since the global financial crisis, cheaper even than the height of the Covid crash. This is particularly noteworthy considering that global inflation expectations are significantly higher, which should support nominal returns.
Rising inflation, deteriorating economic situation, and poor sovereign financial health pose tough challenges to the growth and revival of many emerging markets. China's zero-COVID policy and the threat of global military conflict over the China-Taiwan situation are the biggest downside risks for emerging markets.
Emerging market (EM) ETF investing is currently in a tight spot due to the dollar strength, rising rates in the United States, capital outflows, a slump in China's economy, rising inflation and a debacle in Russia investing.
We examine the key differences and similarities between the two products. We examine the return profiles and the risk-adjusted return profiles of the two ETFs.
The Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF offers exposure to a broad basket of emerging market stocks with a low expense ratio. It is trading at increasingly attractive valuations, particularly relative to its developed market peers, with an underlying forward PE ratio of 11.9x and forward dividend yield of 3.3%.