MU Stock Recent News

Micron Technology's stock has surged recently, driven by strong demand for AI memory chips and impressive earnings, warranting a "strong buy" rating. Fiscal Q1 2025 guidance indicates potential record revenues of $8.5-8.9 billion and earnings of $1.66-1.82 per share, surpassing analyst expectations. Despite recent price volatility, Micron's forward P/E and price-to-book ratios remain attractive compared to industry rivals, suggesting undervaluation.

Micron is seeing growth in the HBM market but management's market share outlook of ~20% has negatively surprised me; I expected it to be higher given Samsung's lagging position. I believe the main positive surprise in Q4 was better gross margins delivery due to cost savings in DRAM production and better HBM yields. This is expected to continue. Micron still trades at a modest 32% premium vs its memory peers. I am not sure if this is justified as I doubt overall outperformance vs its competition.

Nvidia is the leading supplier of graphics processing chips (GPUs) for developing artificial intelligence (AI). Micron makes high-bandwidth memory chips that are used in many of Nvidia's data center GPUs.

Here are some of the major companies whose stocks moved on the week's news.

Recent economic data reinforces the underlying strength of this bull market.

Teradyne and Cohu shares look like cheaper ways to play the high-bandwidth memory market, rather than with Micron stock.

Micron's strong earnings and market reaction don't justify its valuation, with FCF annualized at sub 1%, making it a poor investment. Heavy investments in fabs and AI could strain financials, with capex growth potentially risky if the market downturns. Competition from SK Hynix and Samsung, both ahead in AI memory technology, poses significant challenges to Micron's market position.

Micron stock is currently well-positioned for strong FY25 returns. Despite a high valuation, especially after sentiment improved following its strong Q4 report, this could be sustained for now. Toward the end of FY25, it is reasonable to expect downside volatility as a result of lower growth forecasts for FY26. Therefore, this is a substantial short-term opportunity. That being said, Micron is investing heavily in its long-term capacity with new fabs being built and an effort to compete in HBM4 with SK Hynix and Samsung.

Shares of Micron popped 15% after reporting Q4 results and announcing bullish remarks for FY25, and I recommend holding on for further gains. Micron expects substantial profitability, gross margin expansion, and healthy supply-demand dynamics for DRAM and NAND in FY25. Data center sales continue to be robust as AI applications demand more HBM chips, while refresh cycles are compressing for both PCs and mobile phones.

Micron delivered a beat on revenue, earnings, and guidance. AI demand is leading to a surge in data center DRAM demand.